Unprecedented early-year heat smashes all-time records in Midwest

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 02:04 PM GMT on martie 15, 2012

Share this Blog
27
+

The first day of spring doesn't arrive until Tuesday, but Mother Nature has fast-forwarded past spring and gone straight to summer over the Midwest. Yesterday, large portions of Michigan, Illinois, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Indiana recorded their all-time warmest temperatures for so early in the year, including the cities of Chicago, Minneapolis, Indianapolis, Milwaukee, and Lansing. Temperature records for these cities go back as far as 1863. Perhaps the most extraordinary record was set in Traverse City, Michigan, which hit 81°F--a temperature 42°F above the average high for the date, and four degrees warmer than any previous day so early in the year. Records go back to 1897 in the city.


Figure 1. Spring has arrived early in Sherrard, Illinois, and much of the Midwest, thanks to a record-breaking March heat wave. Image credit: wunderphotographer JourneysEnd.

Major airports that set all-time heat records yesterday

Chicago, Illinois hit 81°F; the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1872, and 35°F above average. This ties the record set on March 12, 1990.

Springfield, Illinois hit 83°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1879, and 32°F above average. This ties the record of 83°F on March 13, 1918.

Rockford, Illinois hit 79°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1893, and 33°F above average. Previous record: 78°F on March 7, 2000.

Peoria, Illinois hit 81°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1883, and 31°F above average. Previous record: 80°F on March 12, 1990.

Minneapolis, Minnesota hit 73°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1872, and 33°F above average. This ties the 73°F reading of March 7, 2000.

Grand Rapids, Michigan hit 80°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1892, and 37 degrees above average. Previous record: 78°F on March 8, 2000.

Muskegon, Michigan hit 77°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1896, and 35°F above average. Previous record: 73°F on March 8, 2000.

Traverse City, Michigan hit 81°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1897, and 42°F above average. Previous record: 77°F on March 7, 2000.

Lansing, Michigan hit 79°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1863, and 36°F above average. This ties the record of 79°F on March 8, 2000.

Indianapolis, Indiana hit 81°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1871, and 30°F above average. Previous record: 80°F on March 8, 1974 and March 13, 2007.

South Bend, Indiana hit 81°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1893, and 35°F above average. Previous record: 80°F on March 8, 2000.

Evansville, Indiana hit 82°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1871, and 25°F above average. This ties the record of 82°F set on March 10, 1990.

Milwaukee, Wisconsin hit 78°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1869, and 36°F above average. Previous record: 77°F on March 7 and 8, 2000.

Madison, Wisconsin hit 78°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1869, and was 36°F above average. Previous record: 77°F on March 8, 2000.

Green Bay, Wisconsin hit 75°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1886, and 37°F above average. Previous record: 74°F on March 8, 2000.

Dubuque, Iowa hit 75°F, the warmest it's ever been this early in the year, going back to 1874, and 37°F above average. This ties the 75°F reading of March 12, 1990.

Data for the previous records was taken from NOAA's National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

Why the record early-season warmth?
The unusual warmth is due to a loop in the jet stream that has created a large upper-level ridge of high pressure that is stuck in place over the Eastern U.S.--a phenomenon known as a "blocking pattern." Since the jet stream acts as the boundary between cold air to the north and warm air to the south, and the large loop in the jet places its axis far to the north of the eastern U.S., summer-like warmth has developed over the eastern half of the U.S. Conversely, colder than average temperatures have developed over the western third of the U.S. behind the southwards-dipping loop of the jet stream. There are at least three large-scale patterns working together right now to create an unusually strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern half of the U.S.:

1) La Niña. The on-going La Niña event in the Eastern Pacific has weakened considerably over the past month, but ocean temperatures there are still cool enough to affect the jet stream pattern, favoring high pressure and warm temperatures over the Eastern U.S., and low pressure and cold temperatures over the Western U.S.

2) The Madden-Julian Oscillation( MJO). The MJO is a 2-month cycle of thunderstorm activity that travels west to east along the Equator. The MJO is currently in phase with La Niña, and is helping create warmer temperatures over the Eastern U.S.

3) The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO.) The NAO is in its positive phase, which means the difference in pressure between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High is stronger than usual. This tends to increase the jet stream winds and keeps the jet from sagging southwards over the Eastern U.S.

While the blocking pattern responsible for the heat wave is natural, it is improbable that the intensity of the heat would have been so great unless we were in a warming climate. Climate scientist Dr. James Hansen has posted an interesting (as yet unpublished) paper discussing how the odds of such extreme heat events have shifted in recent years. I plan to discuss these concepts in more detail next week.


Figure 2. Predicted high temperatures for Thursday, March 15, 2012 over much of the Midwest are more typical of June than March.

The forecast
The summer-like heat continues today over the Midwest, with the greatest departures from average (30°+) expected over Wisconsin, Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, and Michigan. This area of 30°+ above average temperatures will expand to stretch from South Dakota to New York on Sunday and Monday, then gradually shift eastwards, extending from Wisconsin to Maine by Wednesday. The jet stream loop is predicted to grow more pronounced this weekend, and reach a truly extreme configuration on Monday and Tuesday. On those days, the predicted strength of the upper-level ridge of ridge pressure along the northern tier of states, from Wisconsin to Maine, will be typical of what we see at the height of summer, during July and August. The GFS and ECMWF models are predicting the height at where a pressure of 500 mb is found will range between 5760 - 5800 meters on those days--7% higher than the typical mid-March 500 mb heights of 5460 meters. Record-breaking summer-like temperatures will last until at least Friday, March 23, for much of the Midwest and Northeast U.S.

Extreme jet stream patterns like this often lead to tornado outbreaks in the Midwest, at the boundary of where warm, moist air flowing north from the Gulf of Mexico collides with cold, dry air flowing south. Cold dry air aloft, combined with warm, moist air at the surface, makes the atmosphere unstable, since air rising in thunderstorm updrafts will be less dense than the surroundings, allowing the air to accelerate upwards and increase the intensity of the thunderstorm. This will be the case on Sunday, when NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a potential risk area for severe weather from Texas northwards through Nebraska. Fortunately, the winds of the jet stream are expected to blow almost due south to north over the region by Monday, which may limit the amount of cold air aloft that can overrun the warm air at the surface, resulting in a more stable atmosphere and a reduced chance of severe weather compared to Sunday.

Jeff Masters

()
in bloom today (TroyA2)
in bloom today

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 693 - 643

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14Blog Index

693. aspectre
05:20 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
NEW BLOG
Member Since: august 21, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 4860
692. CJ5
04:49 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Well there not the brightest bunch so I'm not surprised.


Yea, like the Dems have never held a convention in a hurricane prone area. Jeez.
Member Since: iulie 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1755
691. Neapolitan
02:51 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting Jedkins01:




How old are you may I ask? Because I am now 21(I'm assuming you are young enough to fit may statement) and when I am 50, I would love to shake hands and have a beer with you, and look back and laugh at all the GW fuss back in the early 2000's.

If there's any laughing going on in 2050, it'll be of the derisive type--and it'll be aimed squarely at those who delayed action on mitigation.
Member Since: noiembrie 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13597
690. TropicalAnalystwx13
02:47 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
There's a new blog.
Member Since: iulie 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32503
689. KeysieLife
02:46 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Almost happened with Charley. That last second turn saved them from what could have been one of the greatest Natural Disasters EVER.


Punta Gorda was not so lucky...
Member Since: septembrie 10, 2010 Posts: 3 Comments: 409
688. WxGeekVA
02:46 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting JeffMasters:


Yes, scheduling a major convention during the last week of August in a coastal city in Florida is definitely tempting fate.

Jeff Masters


They will blame Obama for it, I'm sure. If he controls gas prices like Republicans claim he does, then he can obviously control the weather too!

SARCASM FLAG: ON
Member Since: septembrie 3, 2011 Posts: 13 Comments: 3476
687. StormTracker2K
02:42 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting KeysieLife:


Thanks for the vid Neo, it is a great wake-up tool for those who have become complacent in the area...

It can, and will, happen again...


Almost happened with Charley. That last second turn saved them from what could have been one of the greatest Natural Disasters EVER.
Member Since: octombrie 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
686. Jedkins01
02:41 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting Xyrus2000:


You are incorrect on every claim you make.

The map is based on the results and methods of several different peer-reviewed papers. The projections are based on the next 100 years, not the next 8 years as you claim. The map contains a link to the description of the map, including how it was made and what data it uses. And for those claiming that such implementations never provide the data for review, there is a convenient link on the side of the map description that allows you to download it.

There has been no significant change in the long term trend in sea-level rise. The latest data points from the graph are still easily within normal variance. In fact, they correspond well with the prediction that warmer temperatures yield more water vapor in the atmosphere which has been the subject of research.

Your claim about sea level rise since the Little Ice Age is irrelevant. I'm not aware of any data source that shows a significant rate of sea level rise that comes anywhere close to what we've seen over the past 100 years. The last time sea-levels rose as much as they are now was during the approach to the Holocene maximum.

The reason why CO2 mitigation won't have an impact on sea level rise is because it's too late to stop it. The climate system has a lag time of approximately 30 years. This means even if we stopped all CO2 production now, we'd still have at least 30 more years of warming temperatures and melting glaciers. There is no mitigation strategy at this point, unless we implement a massive plan for carbon sequestration, which we really don't have the technology for (and since we're still getting a major chunk of our power from fossil fuels, is rather self-defeating). Mitigation would slow things down, but as long as we're putting more CO2 into the system than it can take out, it's just prolonging the inevitable.

Your claims about global temperatures are incorrect, and every single temperature data set from ground stations to satellite measurements contradict your statement.

And lastly, solar cycles have no significant impact on global average temperature over climate scales.

Opinions and empty claims do not make your arguments convincing. The peer-reviewed science on the subject is far more convincing.




How old are you may I ask? Because I am now 21(I'm assuming you are young enough to fit may statement) and when I am 50, I would love to shake hands and have a beer with you, and look back and laugh at all the GW fuss back in the early 2000's.

Member Since: august 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7828
685. StormTracker2K
02:40 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting Jedkins01:



Looks like what will likely be an overdone bullseye of precip, similar to last week for Texas.



Possible but I do agree there will be a pretty significant rain event across TX over the weekend with a significant severe wx event as well.
Member Since: octombrie 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
684. KeysieLife
02:38 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting Neapolitan:
Do you mean this very well done one? The thing is, there's absolutely no reason whatsoever this couldn't--or won't--happen.



Thanks for the vid Neo, it is a great wake-up tool for those who have become complacent in the area...

It can, and will, happen again...
Member Since: septembrie 10, 2010 Posts: 3 Comments: 409
683. Jedkins01
02:34 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:



Looks like what will likely be an overdone bullseye of precip, similar to last week for Texas.
Member Since: august 21, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 7828
682. Greenizz
02:32 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting FloridaRick:
Hoping someone in this forum can help me. I am looking for a video (I think it was an episode of it could hapen tomorrow) with a catastrophic hurricane going into the Tampa Bay Area. any links would be appreciated.


It was Season 2 of It Could Happen Tomorrow - Episode 23 - Cat 4 into Tampa Bay
Member Since: septembrie 5, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 21
681. CybrTeddy
02:32 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting JeffMasters:


Yes, scheduling a major convention during the last week of August in a coastal city in Florida is definitely tempting fate.

Jeff Masters


Note that the last RNC got delayed because of Hurricane Gustav. Oh the irony.
Member Since: iulie 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24456
680. GeorgiaStormz
02:29 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting SPLbeater:
I didnt know that the Carolinas had a chance for severity today...Wind outlook was expanded :D



Yes, i am back in the wind. After i went to bed it haild north of me.
Almost rained
Member Since: februarie 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
679. TropicTraveler
02:28 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting Patrap:
I remember what happened during Gustav's approach to Se Louisiana during the last RNC.

Contrary to earlier plans, Dick Cheney’s speech at the RNC is cancelled because of Hurricane Gustav.

Weather does matter politically.


I seem to remember Hurricane Charley was on Aug 13. This might give the attendees an appreciation for what storms do to their constituents...
Member Since: iulie 24, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 927
678. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
02:23 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Member Since: iulie 15, 2006 Posts: 175 Comments: 54827
677. TropicalAnalystwx13
02:16 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Member Since: iulie 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32503
676. FloridaRick
02:09 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting JeffMasters:


Yes, scheduling a major convention during the last week of August in a coastal city in Florida is definitely tempting fate.

Jeff Masters


Totally agree! I would put money on a storm threatening the area.
Member Since: iulie 27, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 18
675. Patrap
02:08 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Radar from Near Ann Arbor during the Event.

Note the time stamp.



Member Since: iulie 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129089
674. FloridaRick
02:05 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting Neapolitan:
Do you mean this very well done one? The thing is, there's absolutely no reason whatsoever this couldn't--or won't--happen.



Yeah, I found that one on the search but there was another one that was done by the weather channel that was pretty good too. I am putting together an exercise for some of my folks and want to add some viseo for realism and to set the stage.
Member Since: iulie 27, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 18
673. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
02:05 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting JeffMasters:


Yes, scheduling a major convention during the last week of August in a coastal city in Florida is definitely tempting fate.

Jeff Masters
no fate but that which we make for ourselves
Member Since: iulie 15, 2006 Posts: 175 Comments: 54827
672. StormTracker2K
02:05 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting JeffMasters:


Yes, scheduling a major convention during the last week of August in a coastal city in Florida is definitely tempting fate.

Jeff Masters


Well there not the brightest bunch so I'm not surprised. Any severe wx by yesterday Doc? The radar yesterday afternoon looked like May or June across Michigan. Amazing!
Member Since: octombrie 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
671. FloridaRick
02:02 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting Patrap:
Isnt the RNC in Tampa in August?


Yes, August 27th-30th.
Member Since: iulie 27, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 18
670. Patrap
02:01 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
I remember what happened during Gustav's approach to Se Louisiana during the last RNC.

Contrary to earlier plans, Dick Cheney’s speech at the RNC is cancelled because of Hurricane Gustav.

Weather does matter politically.

Member Since: iulie 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129089
669. Dr. Jeff Masters , Director of Meteorology (Admin)
01:59 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting Patrap:
Isnt the RNC in Tampa in August?


Yes, scheduling a major convention during the last week of August in a coastal city in Florida is definitely tempting fate.

Jeff Masters
668. TropicTraveler
01:55 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting AussieStorm:

Luckily I'm over on the other coast, in Sydney, But I also with there was some cam's in that area. Here and here are cams from Broome. Closest I could find.

I looked at the second webcam - the light behind it (I guess) is picking up all sorts of flying things which look like aliens or very weird bugs. Worth watching for a few minutes. Very interesting. It's 9:50 p.m. there so it is dark.
Member Since: iulie 24, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 927
667. SPLbeater
01:54 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
I didnt know that the Carolinas had a chance for severity today...Wind outlook was expanded :D
Member Since: august 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
666. Patrap
01:49 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Isnt the RNC in Tampa in August?
Member Since: iulie 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129089
665. Neapolitan
01:47 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting FloridaRick:
Hoping someone in this forum can help me. I am looking for a video (I think it was an episode of it could hapen tomorrow) with a catastrophic hurricane going into the Tampa Bay Area. any links would be appreciated.
Do you mean this very well done one? The thing is, there's absolutely no reason whatsoever this couldn't--or won't--happen.

Member Since: noiembrie 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13597
664. Patrap
01:46 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
America has questions about climate change, and the USGS has real answers. In this episode of Climate Connections, USGS scientists answer questions gathered from the beautiful Glacier National Park in Montana. Questions include:

- When I come back in ten years, what will I see in Glacier National Park?
- How is climate change impacting the glaciers?
- Does all the snow we received this winter help the glaciers?
- How do receding glaciers and climate change affect the local economy in terms of recreation, agriculture, tourism?


Member Since: iulie 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 129089
663. Xyrus2000
01:43 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting Objectivist:

They didn't "collect and map sea level data". They published *projections* for 2020.

It is laughable, given that sea level rise has actually reversed recently. For them to claim they know what will happen over the course of the coming century is absurd. That said, sea levels have been rising to some extent since the Little Ice Age, and for most of that time there is no chance humans had any effect. Further, no proposed mitigation of CO2 will have a measurable effect on sea level this century, even according to the warmist alarmists.

Also, one quick general comment on this blog entry: while weather patterns over North America (excluding Alaska) have favored warmer weather this winter, that is not the case for most of the rest of the Northern Hemisphere. Europe has had a punishing winter, and snowfall is above average for much of Europe and Asia.

The global average temperature right now continues the trend of no significant warming for more than the last ten years. We'll see if Solar Cycle 24 & 25 bring significant cooling as many expect...


You are incorrect on every claim you make.

The map is based on the results and methods of several different peer-reviewed papers. The projections are based on the next 100 years, not the next 8 years as you claim. The map contains a link to the description of the map, including how it was made and what data it uses. And for those claiming that such implementations never provide the data for review, there is a convenient link on the side of the map description that allows you to download it.

There has been no significant change in the long term trend in sea-level rise. The latest data points from the graph are still easily within normal variance. In fact, they correspond well with the prediction that warmer temperatures yield more water vapor in the atmosphere which has been the subject of research.

Your claim about sea level rise since the Little Ice Age is irrelevant. I'm not aware of any data source that shows a significant rate of sea level rise that comes anywhere close to what we've seen over the past 100 years. The last time sea-levels rose as much as they are now was during the approach to the Holocene maximum.

The reason why CO2 mitigation won't have an impact on sea level rise is because it's too late to stop it. The climate system has a lag time of approximately 30 years. This means even if we stopped all CO2 production now, we'd still have at least 30 more years of warming temperatures and melting glaciers. There is no mitigation strategy at this point, unless we implement a massive plan for carbon sequestration, which we really don't have the technology for (and since we're still getting a major chunk of our power from fossil fuels, is rather self-defeating). Mitigation would slow things down, but as long as we're putting more CO2 into the system than it can take out, it's just prolonging the inevitable.

Your claims about global temperatures are incorrect, and every single temperature data set from ground stations to satellite measurements contradict your statement.

And lastly, solar cycles have no significant impact on global average temperature over climate scales.

Opinions and empty claims do not make your arguments convincing. The peer-reviewed science on the subject is far more convincing.
Member Since: octombrie 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1552
662. FloridaRick
01:39 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Hoping someone in this forum can help me. I am looking for a video (I think it was an episode of it could hapen tomorrow) with a catastrophic hurricane going into the Tampa Bay Area. any links would be appreciated.
Member Since: iulie 27, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 18
661. AussieStorm
01:34 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting biff4ugo:
I know it is night there, but I wish there were a web cam or two in Broome or on the northern coast of West Australia.
Looks like the whole norther coast is catching it.
Be safe.

Luckily I'm over on the other coast, in Sydney, But I also with there was some cam's in that area. Here and here are cams from Broome. Closest I could find.
Member Since: septembrie 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15961
660. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
01:24 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Member Since: iulie 15, 2006 Posts: 175 Comments: 54827
659. Neapolitan
01:18 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting Objectivist:

They didn't "collect and map sea level data". They published *projections* for 2020.

It is laughable, given that sea level rise has actually reversed recently. For them to claim they know what will happen over the course of the coming century is absurd. That said, sea levels have been rising to some extent since the Little Ice Age, and for most of that time there is no chance humans had any effect. Further, no proposed mitigation of CO2 will have a measurable effect on sea level this century, even according to the warmist alarmists.

Also, one quick general comment on this blog entry: while weather patterns over North America (excluding Alaska) have favored warmer weather this winter, that is not the case for most of the rest of the Northern Hemisphere. Europe has had a punishing winter, and snowfall is above average for much of Europe and Asia.

The global average temperature right now continues the trend of no significant warming for more than the last ten years. We'll see if Solar Cycle 24 & 25 bring significant cooling as many expect...
How are you? haven't seen you around in a while. I'd like to address you, if I may:

-"...[S]ea level rise has actually reversed recently." There's been an abnormally strong La Nina; hence the dip at the end of that graph. At any rate, climate is about long-term trends, not one-year anomalies; look at that overall graph for your answer.

-"Europe has had a punishing winter..." Not true. There was a very deep cold snap in early February, true. But overall it's been very mild in Europe most of the winter, with multiple high temperature records being set or broken. (Northern Europe in particular has been downright balmy; Norway, for instance, had its highest February temperature ever.)

-"...snowfall is above average for much of Europe and Asia." Over Asia, yes; Asia is the world's largest landmass, and it's got a direct connection to the Arctic. Enhanced snowfalls there are actually likely a side effect of the warming climate.

-"We'll see if Solar Cycle 24 & 25 bring significant cooling as many expect..." The majority of solar physicists and climate scientists do NOT expect anything like "significant cooling"; CO2-induced warming is much more powerful as a force than solar variations, so it overrides any cooling effect from a weakened sun. (And the sun has been very weak for some time now, yet the temperature continues to rise.)

-"The global average temperature right now continues the trend of no significant warming for more than the last ten years. " The temperature has increased over the past ten years (and twenty, and thirty, and forty). And again, climate is about long-term trends; basing any temperature trend off the anomalous El Nino spike in 1998 is cherry-picking.
Member Since: noiembrie 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13597
658. biff4ugo
01:14 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Dang, I missed the solar comet impact yesterday.
Looking forward to the New MetEd African Dust module.
Member Since: decembrie 28, 2006 Posts: 115 Comments: 1590
657. biff4ugo
01:08 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
I know it is night there, but I wish there were a web cam or two in Broome or on the northern coast of West Australia.
Looks like the whole norther coast is catching it.
Be safe.
Member Since: decembrie 28, 2006 Posts: 115 Comments: 1590
656. GeorgiaStormz
12:50 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Byebye warmth:



No real precip on cold front but cooler air for sure. well see how this pans out.
Member Since: februarie 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
655. Objectivist
12:48 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting percylives:
From RSOE EDIS

Yesterday, the New York Times published an in depth look at sea level rise in the United States. The story is a collaboration with Climate Central, a nonprofit news organization who collected and mapped sea level data for areas all over the country.

They didn't "collect and map sea level data". They published *projections* for 2020.

It is laughable, given that sea level rise has actually reversed recently. For them to claim they know what will happen over the course of the coming century is absurd. That said, sea levels have been rising to some extent since the Little Ice Age, and for most of that time there is no chance humans had any effect. Further, no proposed mitigation of CO2 will have a measurable effect on sea level this century, even according to the warmist alarmists.

Also, one quick general comment on this blog entry: while weather patterns over North America (excluding Alaska) have favored warmer weather this winter, that is not the case for most of the rest of the Northern Hemisphere. Europe has had a punishing winter, and snowfall is above average for much of Europe and Asia.

The global average temperature right now continues the trend of no significant warming for more than the last ten years. We'll see if Solar Cycle 24 & 25 bring significant cooling as many expect...
Member Since: noiembrie 22, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 34
654. GeorgiaStormz
12:42 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Yeah could be a dangerous outbreak for Mid West & Southern Plains and then moving into the SE US come next week.

EURO


I guess we wont have to wonder if this is negatively titled, it will be till it is cut off.

looks like a repeat of yesterdays weather in TX today, maybe a few more tornadoes, or maybe not.
Member Since: februarie 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
653. Jax82
12:41 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
and it continues.

Member Since: septembrie 2, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 1261
652. JNCali
12:24 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting StormTracker2K:
Lake Tahoe is gonna get 8 feet of snow..
Member Since: septembrie 9, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 1034
651. StormTracker2K
12:21 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Most of the GFS ensembles resemble the Euro.
Member Since: octombrie 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
650. StormTracker2K
12:19 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
on the gfs, looks like this systems focus is more easterly that originally thought. Cold front makes it as far as GA.

I think MO, AR, and MS could see a bit of the action Day 5 and past if the models can come into agreement.


Yeah could be a dangerous outbreak for Mid West & Southern Plains and then moving into the SE US come next week.

EURO
Member Since: octombrie 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
649. StormTracker2K
12:14 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Member Since: octombrie 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
648. GeorgiaStormz
12:13 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
on the gfs, looks like this systems focus is more easterly that originally thought. Cold front makes it as far as GA.

I think MO, AR, and MS could see a bit of the action Day 5 and past if the models can come into agreement.
Member Since: februarie 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9737
647. Neapolitan
12:07 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
The good news: by a week from now, the above-average temps in the upper Midwest moderate a bit.

The bad news: most of the country gets in on the action.

heat
Member Since: noiembrie 8, 2009 Posts: 4 Comments: 13597
646. SPLbeater
12:01 PM GMT on martie 16, 2012
morning all.

Nice surprise this morning, was included in a 5% chance for damaging wind from the SPC lol.

Member Since: august 4, 2011 Posts: 46 Comments: 4488
645. JNCali
11:52 AM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Member Since: septembrie 9, 2010 Posts: 5 Comments: 1034
644. StormTracker2K
11:51 AM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Sunday

Monday
Member Since: octombrie 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
643. StormTracker2K
11:49 AM GMT on martie 16, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:

I win at everything. At least, if it concerns you. =P


WOW! Come on man come down your better than this.

Member Since: octombrie 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651

Viewing: 693 - 643

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
53 °F
Cer acoperit