Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Ok, Chris is a hurricane.
Now, as blog tradition, lets turn our attention somewhere else
:) jk

I WANT 96L!!!

All I can say - WAY more impressive than the last Chris.

haha had to post this "Everybody Hates Chris!!"

I think we should give a huge congratulations! Chris is pretty much a more epic version of Vince, in June at like 40N.

I cannot wait until post season to see what the NHC says. Oh well, the thought of a weak puny and lame Chris dies today!

It appears Chris timed his upgrade to hurricane status perfectly as it has now probably reached its peak and will begin weakening. Convection is beginning to weaken.

Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
Ok, Chris is a hurricane.
Now, as blog tradition, lets turn our attention somewhere else
:) jk

Yes when or if Debby forms we will turn our attention twards Africa.

Quoting GeorgiaStormz:


a foot of water.......... ?
how do they know that already? :)

Fetch. High winds (doesn't even have to be associated with a storm), long body of water of which it traverses. Texas could call for coastal flooding anytime. In fact, the same could be said for anywhere along the gulf coast because of the amount of time those storms have been in or near the GoM.

OMG!!!! NHC officially call chris hurricane, can anyone remember me when a hurricane forms so far to north?

Quoting JrWeathermanFL:
Ok, Chris is a hurricane.
Now, as blog tradition, lets turn our attention somewhere else
:) jk

i agree feels good to hear thatchirs is a hurricane now we have to look at future debby which is don with a vengeance but he got his big sister

11:00AM ADVISORY
(click to enlarge)

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Quoting stormchaser19:
OMG!!!! NHC officially call chris hurricane, can anyone remember me when a hurricane forms so far to north?

according to a past comment by CybrTeddy,
Chris is the northernmost June hurricane on record

See, if you look closely on the low cloud product, this system is drier than Alex and farther north, but it has a similar environmental structure, in that it's sort double nested in this much larger envelope. It just needs to moisten up the environment a lot more, which it's clearly doing.

Expect it to cover most of the Gulf when the convection finally does wrap around. Will be very, very large.

It really deserves an invest and a flight to help find the dominant CoC and get a better model initialization.

5000 mile wide satellite photo comparing the Russian wildfire state of emergency (upper left) and the day to day China smog (lower right). MODIS

Quoting RitaEvac:


I like what you say at the end, "forecasts stills call for hot and sunny along here, but looks to be busted"

If Debbie develops and moves to Texas we get rains we really need if it moves to Florida most likely record heat here next week, come this way Debbie. :) Hope Levi is right but we shall see? Like flipping a coin my guess is Florida and the trough picking storm up but this is a tough one to forecast right now until Storm develops.

Regarding the Louisiana flooding thats been brought up. It's not a forecast from the low at the Yucatan now. Louisiana has had strong Easterly winds 15-20knots for 4 days now. Due to ekman transport, water is piling up and tides have been 1 foot above normal. A flood warning has been issued for low lying areas which is typical.

Orleans Parish

Coastal Flood Advisory

Statement as of 3:44 AM CDT on June 21, 2012

... Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect until 7 am CDT
Saturday...

* coastal flooding... minor coastal flooding of less than one
foot expected.

* Timing... flooding will occur during each high tide cycle.
Highest tides will occur in the afternoon hours.

* Impacts... minor overwash of low lying roadways in the
immediate vicinity of the coast. Flooding will be less than
one foot.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A coastal Flood Advisory indicates that onshore winds and tides
will combine to generate flooding of low areas along the shore.

according to the 850MB, the spin is still northwest of that area of deep convection.

if debby forms will it become the earliest 4th named storm

Quoting AllStar17:
11:00AM ADVISORY
(click to enlarge)

Incredible that a pop-up wave that far north could become a legit hurricane. I've Never seen anything like it.

Gulf Of Mexico - False Color RGB Loop

The Low Level Swirl takes up the Whole Eastern GOM

This weeks drought monitor.

long range radar out of key west might just be playing tricks on my eyes but looks like there is a spin just NW of Cuba.

Quoting Jax82:
according to the 850MB, the spin is still northwest of that area of deep convection.

Exactly.

The dominant low is very, very big and broad, but it's starting to get it's act together.

You'll be able to see changes literally on a 30 minute to hour basis with the LSU products, they are by far the best visually for watching systems like this.

Excellent post by Levi32 ! Like he said, we need a LLC for the models to munch on to get a better picture. Debby will take aim from Brownsville to Key West. The entire gulf coast needs to pay attention.

Quoting weatherh98:


That's the mid level

Where.... do you tag the llc?

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DM_state.htm?TX,S

if debby forms will it become the earliest 4th named storm?

Quoting CajunCrawfishhunter:
IM just glad to see Louisiana hasnt been mentioned... all this talk of Texas and Florida..

Well it does seem that you are in the middle of the dart board that everyone is throwing at. Which isn't the safest place to be.

Quoting 2481. Patrap:

Be a adult.

Poof!

guess.is.up.the.rio.grand.valley.trigger.the.beginn ing.of.the.western.moonsoon.season

pretty far north for a hurricane?

Just using my eyeballs here by the bayou-- I think that high which has been sitting on top of New Orleans is starting to weaken.....clouds filling, and mot much movement in the upper levels.

stupid question here, but i can't find an answer elsewhere - why is it called 'invest' and why is this one 'at'?

humble thanks.

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Caribbean Storm Update with Dave

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