Possible Tropical Development Next Week?

By: LPerezIII , 03:26 PM GMT on iunie 15, 2012

It's been fairly quiet lately. A few thunderstorms in the mornings along the coastal areas of upper TX coast and LA that move inland into the afternoon hours will continue for the next few days as tropical moisture continues to pump in from the Gulf of Mexico. The resulting chances for rain stay between 10-30% each day until next week when things could get a bit interesting.

By interesting, I'm talking about a potential for some tropical development in the southern Gulf of Mexico or Caribbean near the Yucatan. The time frame for this would be mid-week next week, according to model runs. Of course, trying to guess exactly when and where and how strong this system might be is extremely difficult. It may not even happen, but, because the models have been very consistent, the chances are increasing that some sort of tropical development will occur.

Because of the potential for this to occur, rain chances for our area go up substantially next week. The caveat is that it is still a few days out, and depending on the location of development and movement, changes the precipitation forecasts dramatically, either higher or lower, are expected.

There are many of unknowns for this forecast, but you can still be prepared just in case something does develop that could impact the TX coast. Take this as a chance to get things situated. There is a hurricane preparedness section below this paragraph on the right side of the homepage (http://www.weatherspectrum.com). You can visit the FEMA page directly at http://www.ready.gov/hurricanes. Also, it would be a good idea to take pictures of your belongings that you do not plan to take with you in an evacuation as record for insurance claims should a flood, fire, or significant wind damage occur. This is not just good for hurricane season, but anytime.

As we go into next week, I will be updating more frequently to stay on top of this possible tropical development.

Model snapshot showing tropical feature in the Gulf of Mexico. This is 7 days away and much can change! Stay tuned!

Have a good weekend in the mean time!

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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About LPerezIII

I have a passion for Mother Nature's fury, serenity, and beauty. I express my soul through my music and photography. B.S. in Meteorology from TX A&M.

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